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Table 1 An overview of the challenges involved in ART drug supply management, proposed way forward and the ways in which operational research can guide future policie

From: Antiretroviral drug supply challenges in the era of scaling up ART in Malawi

Challenges

Way forward

Proposed operational research

Increased number of different ARV formulations complicates the supply management system and increases the risk of stock outs

Keep the number of different ARV formulations as small as possible while maintaining adequate treatment options for the vast majority of patients

Cost-effectiveness studies comparing ART sites with large number of different ARVs and the national programme

Correctly forecasting the proportion of patients in need of changing of ART regimen

Ensure that adequate alternative and second-line ARVs are available

Develop and test models that predict proportion of patients in need of substitution or switching ARV regimens

Compare forecasting system based on patient numbers (ART clinic data) and ARV consumption (pharmacy data) in ART sites to decide which is the best predictor

National stock positions that have decreased to two months of consumption lead to near stock outs in some ART clinics

Increase national stock positions to a minimum of six months’ consumption

Document the number of (near) stock outs after the establishment of the national buffer stock

Storage capacity in health facilities is limited and undermines the quality of supply management

Increase frequency of deliveries to ART clinics from six monthly to three monthly

Establish a national buffer stock

Document the number of (near) stock outs and the quantity of ARVs that expires

ARV supply management is managed by a few individuals in the Ministry of Health

Hire/establish a dedicated full-time team for supply management for HIV commodities

Document the number of (near) stock outs

Disbursement of grants is often interrupted

Increase national capacity to manage ARV supplies including reporting to donors

Establishment of a fund that will lend monies to HIV programmes as suggested by the United Nations Foundation (‘Pledge Guarantee for Health’)

Document the timely release of funding by the main donor (The Global Fund)