Table 2 HIV prevalence at different degrees of concurrency with 75%, 55%, 35%, 25%, 15%, and 0% coital dilution at 0 to 250 years
From: HIV and concurrent sexual partnerships: modelling the role of coital dilution
Time | 0% Concurrency | 3% Concurrency | 7% Concurrency | 10% Concurrency | 12% Concurrency | 14% Concurrency |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75% coital dilution (daily risk of infection in non-primary partnerships is 25% of primary partnership risk) | ||||||
0 years | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
10 years | 0.81% | 0.72% | 0.64% | 0.58% | 0.52% | 0.51% |
25 years | 0.56% | 0.41% | 0.29% | 0.23% | 0.17% | 0.16% |
50 years | 0.29% | 0.15% | 0.08% | 0.04% | 0.03% | 0.02% |
100 years | 0.09% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
250 years | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
55% coital dilution (daily risk of infection in non-primary partnerships is 45% of primary partnership risk) | ||||||
0 years | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
10 years | 0.81% | 0.75% | 0.71% | 0.70% | 0.68% | 0.70% |
25 years | 0.57% | 0.45% | 0.40% | 0.36% | 0.35% | 0.37% |
50 years | 0.30% | 0.21% | 0.16% | 0.13% | 0.12% | 0.14% |
100 years | 0.09% | 0.04% | 0.03% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.02% |
250 years | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
35% coital dilution (daily risk of infection in non-primary partnerships is 65% of primary partnership risk) | ||||||
0 years | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
10 years | 0.81% | 0.80% | 0.81% | 0.82% | 0.85% | 0.92% |
25 years | 0.56% | 0.55% | 0.55% | 0.59% | 0.64% | 0.80% |
50 years | 0.30% | 0.29% | 0.28% | 0.33% | 0.41% | 0.64% |
100 years | 0.09% | 0.07% | 0.07% | 0.10% | 0.18% | 0.38% |
250 years | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.08% |
25% coital dilution (daily risk of infection in non-primary partnerships is 75% of primary partnership risk) | ||||||
0 years | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
10 years | 0.81% | 0.81% | 0.84% | 0.89% | 0.97% | 1.06% |
25 years | 0.56% | 0.57% | 0.62% | 0.71% | 0.86% | 1.13% |
50 years | 0.29% | 0.32% | 0.35% | 0.51% | 0.71% | 1.21% |
100 years | 0.09% | 0.10% | 0.14% | 0.25% | 0.54% | 1.41% |
250 years | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.20% | 1.80% |
15% coital dilution (daily risk of infection in non-primary partnerships is 85% of primary partnership risk) | ||||||
0 years | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
10 years | 0.81% | 0.86% | 0.88% | 0.96% | 1.03% | 1.18% |
25 years | 0.56% | 0.63% | 0.70% | 0.89% | 1.09% | 1.49% |
50 years | 0.29% | 0.38% | 0.51% | 0.75% | 1.21% | 2.27% |
100 years | 0.09% | 0.13% | 0.25% | 0.58% | 1.48% | 4.20% |
250 years | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.03% | 0.21% | 2.25% | 8.26% |
No coital dilution (daily risk of infection in non-primary partnerships is the same as primary partnership risk) | ||||||
0 years | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.00% |
10 years | 0.81% | 0.87% | 0.96% | 1.08% | 1.21% | 1.42% |
25 years | 0.57% | 0.67% | 0.86% | 1.19% | 1.64% | 2.42% |
50 years | 0.30% | 0.42% | 0.73% | 1.38% | 2.61% | 5.29% |
100 years | 0.10% | 0.18% | 0.52% | 1.71% | 5.37% | 12.42% |
250 years | 0.00% | .02% | 0.19% | 2.72% | 10.02% | 15.70% |