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Table 6 Change in industrial growth results, 2002-2025

From: HIV/AIDS, growth and poverty in KwaZulu-Natal and South Africa: an integrated survey, demographic and economy-wide analysis

 

Point change in growth rate in "No AIDS" scenario1

Ratio of KZN to Other SA growth rate changes

(1)/(2)

 

KZN

Other SA

 
 

(1)

(2)

 

All sectors (total GDP)

1.60

1.42

1.13

   Agriculture

1.88

1.42

1.32

   Mining

1.93

1.66

1.16

   Food processing

1.74

1.40

1.24

   Textiles & clothing

1.66

1.56

1.06

   Wood products

1.46

1.46

1.00

   Chemicals

1.22

1.47

0.83

   Non-metal minerals

1.72

1.70

1.02

   Machinery

1.53

1.61

0.95

   Electrical machinery

2.28

1.67

1.37

   Scientific equipment

1.64

1.41

1.16

   Transport equipment

1.59

1.44

1.10

   Other manufactures

1.55

1.53

1.01

   Electricity

2.05

1.38

1.49

   Water and gas

1.47

1.61

0.91

   Construction

1.91

1.93

0.99

   Trade services

1.82

1.47

1.23

   Hotels & catering

1.64

1.45

1.13

   Transport services

1.63

1.52

1.08

   Communications

1.76

1.51

1.17

   Financial services

1.89

1.53

1.24

   Business services

1.95

1.49

1.31

  1. Source: Provincial DCGE model results.
  2. 1. Point change in annual growth rate between "AIDS" and "No AIDS" scenarios