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Table 4 Growth and poverty results, 2002-2025

From: HIV/AIDS, growth and poverty in KwaZulu-Natal and South Africa: an integrated survey, demographic and economy-wide analysis

 

KwaZulu-Natal (KZN)

Other South Africa (Other SA)

 

Initial, 2002

Annual growth (%)

Initial, 2002

Annual growth (%)

  

AIDS

No AIDS

 

AIDS

No AIDS

GDP (R billions)

171

2.84

4.44

872

3.04

4.46

GDP per capita (R)

18,464

2.03

2.54

24,723

2.23

2.88

Population (millions)

9,250

0.79

1.85

35,252

0.79

1.54

   African

7,999

0.93

2.08

28,045

0.94

1.80

   Other

1,252

-0.23

-0.03

7,207

0.17

0.37

Dependency ratio (pop/employment)

4.86

5.05

4.98

4.41

4.40

4.31

   African households

5.57

5.62

5.38

4.94

4.82

4.60

   Other households

2.69

2.73

2.82

3.12

3.13

3.21

Total factor productivity

-

0.03

0.60

-

-0.04

0.50

Household savings rate (%)

1.76

1.40

3.51

0.50

0.40

1.00

Health spending share of income (%)

13.55

20.87

14.33

14.02

21.44

14.90

Poverty rates (%)

      

   Incidence of poverty (P0)

36.66

19.46

20.00

24.83

10.50

9.51

   Depth of poverty (P1)

14.73

6.02

6.20

9.40

3.46

3.15

   Severity of poverty (P2)

7.71

2.69

2.77

4.91

1.74

1.60

Number of poor people (thousands)

3,391

2,157

2,819

8,752

4,438

4,759

Number of AIDS deaths (thousands)

-

3,011

0

-

7,793

0

  1. Source: Provincial DCGE model results.
  2. Notes: Poverty is based on US$2 a day poverty line (R161 per adult equivalent per month in 2000 prices).
  3. R: South African rands